Events to which subjects assigned a probability of 2% happened 42.6% of the time.

http://www.singinst.org/upload/cognitive-biases.pdf 

http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2007/08/on-cognitive-biases-and-markets.html 

http://www.indexuniverse.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=3043&Itemid=28

To this end, the clan remains independent of the Sects of other Kindred, and practice with great skill the arts of corruption, deceit and ancient sorcery.

http://whitewolf.wikia.com/wiki/Followers_of_Set 

http://www.wizards.com/default.asp?x=mtgevent/valencia07ptq/0721philadelphia 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silt 

http://whitewolf.wikia.com/wiki/Vampire:_The_Masquerade 

http://whitewolf.wikia.com/wiki/Time_of_Thin_Blood_%28book%29 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_Sun